Agent Si­mu­lates Predictor

Agents that can pre­dict their New­comb predictor

Ex­am­ple de­ci­sion the­ory prob­lem: “Agent simu­lates pre­dic­tor”

[Question] Is Agent Si­mu­lates Pre­dic­tor a “fair” prob­lem?

Pre­dictabil­ity of De­ci­sions and the Di­ag­o­nal Method

Policy Selec­tion Solves Most Problems

Agent-Si­mu­lates-Pre­dic­tor Var­i­ant of the Pri­soner’s Dilemma

Asymp­totic De­ci­sion The­ory (Im­proved Wri­teup)

Agent Si­mu­lates Pre­dic­tor us­ing Se­cond-Level Oracles