So although I would endorse Aumann-adjusting as a final verdict with many of the people on this site, I think it’s great that we have discussions—even heated discussions—first, and I think a lot of those discussions might look from the outside like disrespect and refusal to Aumann adjust.
Besides which, we’re human beings, not fully-rational Bayesian agents by mathematical construction. Trying to pretend to reason like a computer is a pointless exercise when compared to actually talking things out the human way, and thus ensuring (the human way) that all parties leave better-informed than they arrived.
Besides which, we’re human beings, not fully-rational Bayesian agents by mathematical construction. Trying to pretend to reason like a computer is a pointless exercise when compared to actually talking things out the human way, and thus ensuring (the human way) that all parties leave better-informed than they arrived.