Now I take you to be endorsing, not describing, the key claim. Which is it?
I was intending to describe it.
Regarding M—I am making that ‘weak’ claim, but I’m trying to emphasise that I was surprised by that. Often when I talk about modesty epistemology, people come to me with arguments of the sort “You should model yourself as a black box outputting claims and others as the same, and average based on your weighting over expertise”, and I respond with questions about this theoretical claim. But I now want to say “But let’s talk about whether the BoJ is insane”. What I thought was a theoretical disagreement is in fact largely empirical.
This seems correct, oops.
I was intending to describe it.
Regarding M—I am making that ‘weak’ claim, but I’m trying to emphasise that I was surprised by that. Often when I talk about modesty epistemology, people come to me with arguments of the sort “You should model yourself as a black box outputting claims and others as the same, and average based on your weighting over expertise”, and I respond with questions about this theoretical claim. But I now want to say “But let’s talk about whether the BoJ is insane”. What I thought was a theoretical disagreement is in fact largely empirical.