I’d rather do it through an avenue other than Paypal, since I give odds near unity that if I won, Paypal would freeze my account before I could withdraw the $10 million. Also, considering that less than .01% of the world’s population has access to $10 million USD in a reasonably liquid form, there’s some counterparty risk.
But, IIRC, you’re confident you have the resources to produce a subplanetary mass of paperclips within a few decades, so let’s do it!
I apologize for being ambiguous; I should have been more clear that 10^-8 was way too low. Hopefully you weren’t counting on those resources for manufacturing paperclips.
I’d rather do it through an avenue other than Paypal, since I give odds near unity that if I won, Paypal would freeze my account before I could withdraw the $10 million. Also, considering that less than .01% of the world’s population has access to $10 million USD in a reasonably liquid form, there’s some counterparty risk.
But, IIRC, you’re confident you have the resources to produce a subplanetary mass of paperclips within a few decades, so let’s do it!
Oh, sorry, I was confused and thought you were offering the bet the other way around.
I apologize for being ambiguous; I should have been more clear that 10^-8 was way too low. Hopefully you weren’t counting on those resources for manufacturing paperclips.