This wouldn’t mean any slowdowns. Acceleration probably. Just the ai development at government labs with unlimited resources and substantial security instead of private ones.
To use my analogy, if the government didn’t restrict plutonium, private companies would have still taken longer to develop fusion boosted nukes and test them at private ranges with the aim of getting a government contract. A private nuke testing range is going to need a lot of private funding to purchase.
Less innovation but with RSI you probably don’t need new innovation past a variant on current models. (Because you train AIs to learn from data what makes the most powerful AIs)
This will only work if we move past GPUs to ASICs or some other specialized hardware made for training specific AI. GPUs are too useful and widespread in everything else to be controlled that tightly. Even the China ban is being curbed with Chinese companies using shell companies in other countries (obvious if you look at sales #)
I agree with the analogy in your last paragraph, and this gives hope for governments slowing down AI development, if they have the will.
This wouldn’t mean any slowdowns. Acceleration probably. Just the ai development at government labs with unlimited resources and substantial security instead of private ones.
To use my analogy, if the government didn’t restrict plutonium, private companies would have still taken longer to develop fusion boosted nukes and test them at private ranges with the aim of getting a government contract. A private nuke testing range is going to need a lot of private funding to purchase.
Less innovation but with RSI you probably don’t need new innovation past a variant on current models. (Because you train AIs to learn from data what makes the most powerful AIs)
This will only work if we move past GPUs to ASICs or some other specialized hardware made for training specific AI. GPUs are too useful and widespread in everything else to be controlled that tightly. Even the China ban is being curbed with Chinese companies using shell companies in other countries (obvious if you look at sales #)