I should note that while your attitude is understandable, event “Roko said his confident predictions out loud” is actually good, because we can evaluate his overconfidence and update our models accordingly.
Well, Altman is back in charge now.… I don’t think I’m being overconfident
“Estimate overconfidence” implies that estimate can be zero!
True. I may in fact have been somewhat underconfident here.
I should note that while your attitude is understandable, event “Roko said his confident predictions out loud” is actually good, because we can evaluate his overconfidence and update our models accordingly.
Well, Altman is back in charge now.… I don’t think I’m being overconfident
“Estimate overconfidence” implies that estimate can be zero!
True. I may in fact have been somewhat underconfident here.