I’ve updated the Heuristics and Biases tag again btw. I don’t think it’s A-grade based on “I’d like to see more work done on it”, but I think it’s about as good as I personally am going to be able to get it. I’d really like somebody (yes you, fellow user reading this) to have a read through and make any adjustments that make sense and/or make it more comprehensive.
re: fallacies, I thought about it, and I think they’re actually used pretty similarly, at least here on LW. Planning fallacy could easily be described as a bias generated by an ‘imagine your ideal plan going correctly (and maybe add, say, 10%)’ heuristic. At the very least, there’s plenty overlap. Really what I envisioned for that section was making the point that a heuristic can be good (or just ok), because that was something that I didn’t realise for a long time.
I’ve updated the Heuristics and Biases tag again btw. I don’t think it’s A-grade based on “I’d like to see more work done on it”, but I think it’s about as good as I personally am going to be able to get it. I’d really like somebody (yes you, fellow user reading this) to have a read through and make any adjustments that make sense and/or make it more comprehensive.
re: fallacies, I thought about it, and I think they’re actually used pretty similarly, at least here on LW. Planning fallacy could easily be described as a bias generated by an ‘imagine your ideal plan going correctly (and maybe add, say, 10%)’ heuristic. At the very least, there’s plenty overlap. Really what I envisioned for that section was making the point that a heuristic can be good (or just ok), because that was something that I didn’t realise for a long time.