I think a key point of DragonGod here is that the majority of the effort should go to scenarios that are likely to happen, and while fast takeoff deserves some effort, at this point it’s a mistake to expect Sam Altman to condition heavily on the fast takeoff, and not conditioning on it doesn’t make him irrational or ruled by incentives.
I think a key point of DragonGod here is that the majority of the effort should go to scenarios that are likely to happen, and while fast takeoff deserves some effort, at this point it’s a mistake to expect Sam Altman to condition heavily on the fast takeoff, and not conditioning on it doesn’t make him irrational or ruled by incentives.
It does if he hasn’t engaged with the arguments.