But it seems like SB1047 hasn’t been very controversial among CA politicians.
I think this isn’t true. Concretely, I bet that if you looked at the distribution of Democratic No votes among bills that reached Newsom’s desk, this one would be among the highest (7 No votes and a bunch of not-voting, which I think is just a polite way to vote No; source). I haven’t checked and could be wrong!
My take is basically the same as Neel’s, though my all-things-considered guess is that he’s 60% or so to veto. My position on Manifold is in large part an emotional hedge. (Otherwise I would be placing much smaller bets in the same direction.)
I think this isn’t true. Concretely, I bet that if you looked at the distribution of Democratic No votes among bills that reached Newsom’s desk, this one would be among the highest (7 No votes and a bunch of not-voting, which I think is just a polite way to vote No; source). I haven’t checked and could be wrong!
My take is basically the same as Neel’s, though my all-things-considered guess is that he’s 60% or so to veto. My position on Manifold is in large part an emotional hedge. (Otherwise I would be placing much smaller bets in the same direction.)