This bothered me. What are the odds, supposing there is no link between X and Y, of conducting 60 studies of the matter, and of all 60 concluding, with 95% confidence, that there is no link between X and Y?
What? No. Just… no. You can’t say “Because P(‘result’|H0)=.05, P(~‘result’|H1)=.05”.
What? No. Just… no. You can’t say “Because P(‘result’|H0)=.05, P(~‘result’|H1)=.05”.