“If you think you’re acting rationally but you consistently keep getting the wrong answer, and you consistently keep ending worse off than you could be, then the conclusion you should draw from that is not that rationality is bad, it’s that you’re bad at rationality.
This is waaaaayyyyy too blanket. There are potentially limitless reasons you could consistently end worse off than you could be. Any situation where you need to come up with an answer more quickly than you are capable of will get you the wrong answer pretty consistently if you are rational (because your best shot is to guess). Those are good warning signals but not specifically of lacking rationality.
I’m specifically thinking epistemic rationality of the not-wearing-paradigm-glasses/suspending judgement variety can be very bad for you in the short term but good for you in the long term.
Any situation where you need to come up with an answer more quickly than you are capable of will get you the wrong answer pretty consistently if you are rational (because your best shot is to guess).
In situations where spending too much time to choose is worse than choosing sub-optimally in a short time, then guessing is rational. It’s addressed by SVP#2 in the post. Being “rational” in your sense of the word in such a situation is failing the twelfth virtue.
That is what I was saying. sometimes the rational course of action, which is to guess in situations like that, will get you the wrong answer pretty consistently, not that that course of action is irrational.
I assume you read “the wrong answer” as referring to the choice to guess rather than the outcome of the guess.
“If you think you’re acting rationally but you consistently keep getting the wrong answer, and you consistently keep ending worse off than you could be, then the conclusion you should draw from that is not that rationality is bad, it’s that you’re bad at rationality.
This is waaaaayyyyy too blanket. There are potentially limitless reasons you could consistently end worse off than you could be. Any situation where you need to come up with an answer more quickly than you are capable of will get you the wrong answer pretty consistently if you are rational (because your best shot is to guess). Those are good warning signals but not specifically of lacking rationality.
I’m specifically thinking epistemic rationality of the not-wearing-paradigm-glasses/suspending judgement variety can be very bad for you in the short term but good for you in the long term.
In situations where spending too much time to choose is worse than choosing sub-optimally in a short time, then guessing is rational. It’s addressed by SVP#2 in the post. Being “rational” in your sense of the word in such a situation is failing the twelfth virtue.
That is what I was saying. sometimes the rational course of action, which is to guess in situations like that, will get you the wrong answer pretty consistently, not that that course of action is irrational.
I assume you read “the wrong answer” as referring to the choice to guess rather than the outcome of the guess.