But this would mean that the prosecutors are evaluated on a subset of the charges that are systematically too high, and therefore to compensate they end up lowering their assessed probabilities below what is actually counterfactually accurate if people just went to court about it always.
While I do think such an effect could exist, it should be relatively constant and I would expect defense attornies to understand the effect and correct for it in their decisions when they advice their clients.
While I do think such an effect could exist, it should be relatively constant and I would expect defense attornies to understand the effect and correct for it in their decisions when they advice their clients.