And a logistic curve is even harder before it starts slowing. I think the various arguments for superhuman AI are far more significant than the projected curves.
I didn’t mean it as a “charge”, I was simply pointing out that until and unless it hits an inflection point there is simply no way of knowing which it is (unless there is a known limitation to growth, like the speed of light). Which is one of the reasons that I consider the arguments for superhuman AI far more significant than plotting curves.
It’s hard to tell the difference between the very first little bit of an exponential curve and a linear one.
And a logistic curve is even harder before it starts slowing. I think the various arguments for superhuman AI are far more significant than the projected curves.
The “logistic growth curve” charge, as voiced by John Wilkins:
I didn’t mean it as a “charge”, I was simply pointing out that until and unless it hits an inflection point there is simply no way of knowing which it is (unless there is a known limitation to growth, like the speed of light). Which is one of the reasons that I consider the arguments for superhuman AI far more significant than plotting curves.