2. More resources are being poured into the mentorship and training of new alignment researchers. Perhaps the miracle will not come from a new “genius” but from a reasonably smart person (or set of people) who receive high-quality mentorship.
Assuming ‘geniuses’ are not excluded from mentorship, why would this be at all likely?
If we assess smartness based on actual observed behaviour, and not based on self-claims, it seems almost tautological to assume the opposite, that if any ‘miracle’ occurs it will be from someone extremely competent, or a group of such.
Assuming ‘geniuses’ are not excluded from mentorship, why would this be at all likely?
If we assess smartness based on actual observed behaviour, and not based on self-claims, it seems almost tautological to assume the opposite, that if any ‘miracle’ occurs it will be from someone extremely competent, or a group of such.