I’m not sure my memories being lies is actually all that likely even taking Loschmidt into account. I don’t expect my memories to get scrambled in the near future, so I also shouldn’t expect my memories to recently have spontaneously unscrambled. Is that how it works? Hm, but on the other hand, does the asymmetry of my memories provide sufficient evidence that the past was low-entropy? If you have a max-entropy prior over states of matter in the universe, no, absolutely not. You’d need some kind of simplicity prior or similar. So I guess you’re totally right :)
I’m not sure my memories being lies is actually all that likely even taking Loschmidt into account. I don’t expect my memories to get scrambled in the near future, so I also shouldn’t expect my memories to recently have spontaneously unscrambled. Is that how it works? Hm, but on the other hand, does the asymmetry of my memories provide sufficient evidence that the past was low-entropy? If you have a max-entropy prior over states of matter in the universe, no, absolutely not. You’d need some kind of simplicity prior or similar. So I guess you’re totally right :)