It’s almost impossible to predict the future. But it’s also unnecessary, because most people are living in the past. All you have to do is see the present before everyone else does.
To be fair, it is still necessary to model/predict the future to make good decisions that have consequences in the future. As this post says, your prediction will be better than others if your data is more up-to-date and from better sources.
Yeah, it was a pithy tweet-length opener. To be precise, it’s unnecessary to have a perfect model of the future / predict it with anything near 100% accuracy, or to have any appreciable degree of accuracy on the long-term future.
To be fair, it is still necessary to model/predict the future to make good decisions that have consequences in the future. As this post says, your prediction will be better than others if your data is more up-to-date and from better sources.
Yeah, it was a pithy tweet-length opener. To be precise, it’s unnecessary to have a perfect model of the future / predict it with anything near 100% accuracy, or to have any appreciable degree of accuracy on the long-term future.
I agree.