Either we’ll have a positive singularity, and material abundance ensues, or we’ll have a negative singularity, and paperclips ensue. That’s why my retirement portfolio is geared towards business-as-usual scenarios.
My objection to this argument is just, more generally, before the singularity there should be some period in which we have powerful AI, but the economy still looks somewhat familiar. The operationalization for this is Paul’s slow takeoff, where economic growth rates should start to pick up a little before picking up by a lot.
My objection to this argument is just, more generally, before the singularity there should be some period in which we have powerful AI, but the economy still looks somewhat familiar. The operationalization for this is Paul’s slow takeoff, where economic growth rates should start to pick up a little before picking up by a lot.