I agree with the dangers of modeling progress in this way. I’m just curious how well we can build the model, and what it would predict. Fur a specific sort of person, these mathematical models are more convincing than detailed explanations of why the future might go specific ways. And it seems to me that there is some low hanging fruit around improving these sorts of models.
I agree with the dangers of modeling progress in this way. I’m just curious how well we can build the model, and what it would predict. Fur a specific sort of person, these mathematical models are more convincing than detailed explanations of why the future might go specific ways. And it seems to me that there is some low hanging fruit around improving these sorts of models.