True enough, but that distinction represents a can of worms that I don’t really want to open here. Point is, you don’t need that sort of utilitarian sleight of hand to get Pascal’s mugging to work—the vulnerability it exploits lies elsewhere, probably in the way Solomonoff-based decision theory bounds its expectations.
In dollars—but not expected utilons, obviously. People generally play the lottery because they want to win.
True enough, but that distinction represents a can of worms that I don’t really want to open here. Point is, you don’t need that sort of utilitarian sleight of hand to get Pascal’s mugging to work—the vulnerability it exploits lies elsewhere, probably in the way Solomonoff-based decision theory bounds its expectations.