I just wanted to highlight a claim made by Simon4, (since it seemed more appropriate to discuss it here than do thread necromancy).
Nothing can raise the probability of something being true if this something isn’t logically/mathematically possible. No matter how much evidence we find that apparently supports the claim that there’s a logical contradiction in our universe, we should still believe that the claim is false and continue to look for the truth.
We’re sometimes wrong about what’s logically impossible! The scientific community seemed to have a pretty good reaction to the OPERA data, which was to say, “We think it’s really really likely that these data are in error, as they seem to be logically impossible in our current logical frameworks, but this raises the probability enough that we thing it’s worth actually checking to see how they made this almost-certainly-an-error. Plus, it’d be good to fix the problem and have more accurate readings in the future.”
I just wanted to highlight a claim made by Simon4, (since it seemed more appropriate to discuss it here than do thread necromancy).
We’re sometimes wrong about what’s logically impossible! The scientific community seemed to have a pretty good reaction to the OPERA data, which was to say, “We think it’s really really likely that these data are in error, as they seem to be logically impossible in our current logical frameworks, but this raises the probability enough that we thing it’s worth actually checking to see how they made this almost-certainly-an-error. Plus, it’d be good to fix the problem and have more accurate readings in the future.”
Inside the argument: Sure, if something is logically impossible, nothing can raise its probability.
Outside the argument: What is our certaintly that we didn’t make any mistake while concluding that X is impossible? Less than 100%, I suppose.