I’m doing this as a comment, not an answer, because it’s only slightly related to the specific question, but Matt Parker did some videos about similar “impossible” events and/or probability claims, and he includes discussions on why we tend to make errors like that, as humans.
I’m doing this as a comment, not an answer, because it’s only slightly related to the specific question, but Matt Parker did some videos about similar “impossible” events and/or probability claims, and he includes discussions on why we tend to make errors like that, as humans.
How lucky is TOO lucky? — https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8Ko3TdPy0TU
How did the ‘impossible’ Perfect Bridge Deal happen? — https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=s9-b-QJZdVA