Open / Closed: “Will transformative AI systems in the critical period be publicly available?”
A world where everyone has access to transformative AI systems, for example by being able to rent them (like GPT-3′s API once it’s publicly available), might be very different from one where they are kept private by one or more private organizations.
For example, if strategystealing doesn’t hold, this could dramatically change the distribution of power, because the systems might be more helpful for some tasks and values than others.
This variable could also affect timelines estimates if publicly accessible TAI systems increase GDP growth, among other effects it could have on the world.
Open / Closed: “Will transformative AI systems in the critical period be publicly available?”
A world where everyone has access to transformative AI systems, for example by being able to rent them (like GPT-3′s API once it’s publicly available), might be very different from one where they are kept private by one or more private organizations.
For example, if strategy stealing doesn’t hold, this could dramatically change the distribution of power, because the systems might be more helpful for some tasks and values than others.
This variable could also affect timelines estimates if publicly accessible TAI systems increase GDP growth, among other effects it could have on the world.