Can we get to AGI without running into constraints?
or
Do we need radically new concepts/tools to get to AGI?
There will be radically different market dynamics if the thing that eventually becomes AGI is built on commoditized components (which will happen if we need another breakthrough to get AGI). The players who build these commodities (possibly safety conscious companies like OpenAI and Deepmind) will have lots of influence on the market.
Something like:
Can we get to AGI without running into constraints?
or
Do we need radically new concepts/tools to get to AGI?
There will be radically different market dynamics if the thing that eventually becomes AGI is built on commoditized components (which will happen if we need another breakthrough to get AGI). The players who build these commodities (possibly safety conscious companies like OpenAI and Deepmind) will have lots of influence on the market.