Establish international cooperation toward Comprehensive AI Services, i.e., build many narrow AI systems instead of something general
I’d say that basically factors into “solve AI governance” and “solve the technical alignment problem”, both of which seem extremely hard, but we need to try it anyways. (In particular, points 3&4 are like instances of 2 that won’t work. (Ok maybe sth like 4 has a small chance to be helpful.))
The governance and the technical part aren’t totally orthogonal. Making progress on one helps making the other part easier or buys more time.
(I’m not at all as pessimistic as Eliezer, and I totally agree with What an Actually Pessimistic Containment Strategy Looks Like, but I think you (like many people) seem to be too optimistic that something will work if we just try a lot. Thinking about concrete scenarios may help to see the actual difficulty.)
I’d say that basically factors into “solve AI governance” and “solve the technical alignment problem”, both of which seem extremely hard, but we need to try it anyways.
(In particular, points 3&4 are like instances of 2 that won’t work. (Ok maybe sth like 4 has a small chance to be helpful.))
The governance and the technical part aren’t totally orthogonal. Making progress on one helps making the other part easier or buys more time.
(I’m not at all as pessimistic as Eliezer, and I totally agree with What an Actually Pessimistic Containment Strategy Looks Like, but I think you (like many people) seem to be too optimistic that something will work if we just try a lot. Thinking about concrete scenarios may help to see the actual difficulty.)