Oh sure—I agree with almost all of what you’ve said, and with the direction of your conclusions. I certainly don’t want to suggest that people should be wary of taking supplements.
On a population level, I agree that it’s plausible that widespread D supplementation may be enough. On a personal level, I wouldn’t want people assuming that good D levels are sufficient to make them ~92% safer than baseline; perhaps they really are, but I don’t think that’s certain enough to take an “Unless you’d put someone vulnerable at risk, why are you letting another day of your life go by not living it to its fullest?” approach.
While few readers will organise raves after reading that sentence, it does strike me as possible the 92% result could impact behaviour: to an extent, it should. But given that there’s room for doubt in the interpretation of low D measurements (if serious Covid is causing them, and pre-existing deficiency isn’t implied), it seems important not to go too far.
Oh sure—I agree with almost all of what you’ve said, and with the direction of your conclusions. I certainly don’t want to suggest that people should be wary of taking supplements.
On a population level, I agree that it’s plausible that widespread D supplementation may be enough. On a personal level, I wouldn’t want people assuming that good D levels are sufficient to make them ~92% safer than baseline; perhaps they really are, but I don’t think that’s certain enough to take an “Unless you’d put someone vulnerable at risk, why are you letting another day of your life go by not living it to its fullest?” approach.
While few readers will organise raves after reading that sentence, it does strike me as possible the 92% result could impact behaviour: to an extent, it should. But given that there’s room for doubt in the interpretation of low D measurements (if serious Covid is causing them, and pre-existing deficiency isn’t implied), it seems important not to go too far.