I’m confused, what is your p(DOOM) overall?
Functionally epsilon at the lower end of alignment difficulty (The optimistic scenario), and a maximum of 10% in the medium difficulty scenario.
So AI risk deserves to be taken seriously, but much longer optimistic tails exist, and one can increase capabilities without much risk.
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I’m confused, what is your p(DOOM) overall?
Functionally epsilon at the lower end of alignment difficulty (The optimistic scenario), and a maximum of 10% in the medium difficulty scenario.
So AI risk deserves to be taken seriously, but much longer optimistic tails exist, and one can increase capabilities without much risk.