Oh, also, I’d accept that the risk of humanity being seriously hosed within 100 years, or extinct within 1000 years, is significant—say, 10^(-3 +/- 4) which meta-averages to something like 15%.
(“Seriously hosed” means gigadeath events, total enslavement, or the like. Note that we’re already moderately hosed and always have been, but that seriously hosed is still distinguishable.)
Oh, also, I’d accept that the risk of humanity being seriously hosed within 100 years, or extinct within 1000 years, is significant—say, 10^(-3 +/- 4) which meta-averages to something like 15%.
(“Seriously hosed” means gigadeath events, total enslavement, or the like. Note that we’re already moderately hosed and always have been, but that seriously hosed is still distinguishable.)