I anticipated a third thing, which is that “at least some people who are talking about short timelines are at least somewhat unconsciously motivated to do so for this reason, Qiaochu is embedded in the social web that may be playing a role in shaping his intuitions.”
I anticipated a third thing, which is that “at least some people who are talking about short timelines are at least somewhat unconsciously motivated to do so for this reason, Qiaochu is embedded in the social web that may be playing a role in shaping his intuitions.”
This is what I meant.