I tracked down the exact quote where Prof Marcus was talking about timelines with regards to jobs. He mentioned 20-100 years (right before the timestamp) and then went on to say: https://youtu.be/TO0J2Yw7usM?t=2438
“In the long run, so called AGI really will replace a large fraction of human jobs. We’re not that close to AGI, despite all the media hype and so forth … in 20 years people will laugh at this … but when we get to AGI, let’s say it is 50 years that is really going to have profound effects on labor...”
Christina Montgomery is explicitly asked “Should we have one” [referring to a new agency] by Senator Lindsey Graham and says “I don’t think so” at https://youtu.be/TO0J2Yw7usM?t=4920
I tracked down the exact quote where Prof Marcus was talking about timelines with regards to jobs. He mentioned 20-100 years (right before the timestamp) and then went on to say: https://youtu.be/TO0J2Yw7usM?t=2438
“In the long run, so called AGI really will replace a large fraction of human jobs. We’re not that close to AGI, despite all the media hype and so forth … in 20 years people will laugh at this … but when we get to AGI, let’s say it is 50 years that is really going to have profound effects on labor...”
Christina Montgomery is explicitly asked “Should we have one” [referring to a new agency] by Senator Lindsey Graham and says “I don’t think so” at https://youtu.be/TO0J2Yw7usM?t=4920