I only have a layperson’s knowledge of evolutionary biology, so my criticisms might miss some important subtlety, but it seems to that your analogy is significantly misleading in a couple of ways. It does convey the idea that random guesses with incremental feedback is a better search strategy than if the feedback were holistic (e.g. if you were guessing whole words and the only feedback were whether the guess is correct or not). In so far as someone’s worry about natural selection is that they’re mistaking it for the latter sort of search, the analogy may be helpful. But if you want to convey something more specific about how natural selection works, then I’m afraid the analogy isn’t all that great.
One drawback of the analogy is in the nature of the environmental feedback. In Hangman, a letter gets fixed if (and only if) it is part of the correct answer. In genuine natural selection, though, a mutation doesn’t get fixed because it is part of a complex set of mutations that collectively confer some phenotypic benefit. The environment isn’t forward-looking like that; it doesn’t say “This mutation is part of what is needed for optimality, so I’m going to hold onto it for that reason.” Each individual mutation, in order to get fixed in the population, must confer some immediate reproductive benefit. Merely being one element of some complex group of mutations that is collectively beneficial is insufficient. The hangman analogy doesn’t capture this aspect of natural selection.
This actually leads the analogy to kind of play into the hands of “irreducible complexity” critiques of natural selection. The proponents of such critiques presume that the individual parts of some complex adaptation only benefit the organism to the extent that they are part of that complex adaptation, and hence one cannot explain their selection without supposing that there is some forward-looking element to selection which holds onto those individual changes just because they will eventually contribute to a complex adaptation. This forward-looking aspect is then offered as evidence of intelligent design.
Another big drawback is that the analogy doesn’t capture the competitive nature of natural selection. Natural selection occurs in populations, and requires both variation in traits among individuals in the population and competition for resources among those individuals. The Hangman analogy suggests that the environment already has a fixed template for the ideal phenotype and that it punishes organisms (or genes) individually for failing to approach this ideal and rewards them for getting closer to the ideal. If you have a population, and things worked in the Hangman way, there would be no correlation between rewards and punishments. But that’s not how natural selection works. Genes are rewarded for contributing to their vehicles (organisms) being more reproductively successful than other organisms in the population. A reward just consists in reproducing more than your competitors, and a punishment just consists in reproducing less, so rewards and punishments are correlated. One allele can’t get rewarded without another one getting punished.
The ‘irreducible complexity’ argument advocated by the intelligent design community often cites the specific example of the eye. It is argued that an eye is a complex organ with many different individual parts that all must work together perfectly and that this implies it could not have been gradually built out of small gradual random changes.
This argument has been around a long time but it has been well answered within the scientific literature and the vast majority of biologist consider the issue settled.
Dawkins’ book ‘Climbing mount improbable’ provides a summary of the science for the lay reader and uses the eye as a detailed example.
Darwin was the first to explain how the the eye could have evolved via natural selection. I quote the wikipedia article:
Charles Darwin himself wrote in his Origin of Species, that the evolution of the eye by natural selection at first glance >seemed “absurd in the highest possible degree”. However, he went on to explain that despite the difficulty in imagining it, >this was perfectly feasible:
…if numerous gradations from a simple and imperfect eye to one complex and perfect can be shown to exist, each >grade being useful to its possessor, as is certainly the case; if further, the eye ever varies and the variations be inherited, >as is likewise certainly the case and if such variations should be useful to any animal under changing conditions of life, >then the difficulty of believing that a perfect and complex eye could be formed by natural selection, though insuperable by >our imagination, should not be considered as subversive of the theory.
The argument of ‘irreducible complexity’ has been around since Darwin first proposed natural selection and it has been conclusively answered within the scientific literature (for a good summary see the Wikipedia article). Those who believe that all life was created by God cannot believe the scientific explanation. In my view the real problem is that they tend to argue that they have superior scientific evidence which proves that the scientific consensus is wrong. In other words the intelligent design community argues they are scientifically superior to the science community. This reduces their position to a undignified one of deception or perhaps even fraud.
Wait, did you interpret my comment as supporting the “irreducible complexity” argument? My whole point was that it is a bad argument. I was criticizing the Hangman analogy because it seems to invite the same sort of mistake that the “irreducible complexity” people make.
Thanks for the feedback. I think you’re right that a key omission here is failing to note that each step must be useful in itself, and provide a non-negligable boost to chances of survival on its own. It also implies a greater sense of purpose than exists in nature (there’s no mind aiming for things, just more resilient creatures surviving).
I realise the model has many flaws and omits wider context such as competition, but I’m still tempted by the appeal of using such a common situation as the analogy. Talk of guessing passwords or rolling dice does make excellent analogies, but if you want to engage someone it helps to talk about something closer to their personal experience, and I imagine most people played hangman on a board or margin at some point at school.
I only have a layperson’s knowledge of evolutionary biology, so my criticisms might miss some important subtlety, but it seems to that your analogy is significantly misleading in a couple of ways. It does convey the idea that random guesses with incremental feedback is a better search strategy than if the feedback were holistic (e.g. if you were guessing whole words and the only feedback were whether the guess is correct or not). In so far as someone’s worry about natural selection is that they’re mistaking it for the latter sort of search, the analogy may be helpful. But if you want to convey something more specific about how natural selection works, then I’m afraid the analogy isn’t all that great.
One drawback of the analogy is in the nature of the environmental feedback. In Hangman, a letter gets fixed if (and only if) it is part of the correct answer. In genuine natural selection, though, a mutation doesn’t get fixed because it is part of a complex set of mutations that collectively confer some phenotypic benefit. The environment isn’t forward-looking like that; it doesn’t say “This mutation is part of what is needed for optimality, so I’m going to hold onto it for that reason.” Each individual mutation, in order to get fixed in the population, must confer some immediate reproductive benefit. Merely being one element of some complex group of mutations that is collectively beneficial is insufficient. The hangman analogy doesn’t capture this aspect of natural selection.
This actually leads the analogy to kind of play into the hands of “irreducible complexity” critiques of natural selection. The proponents of such critiques presume that the individual parts of some complex adaptation only benefit the organism to the extent that they are part of that complex adaptation, and hence one cannot explain their selection without supposing that there is some forward-looking element to selection which holds onto those individual changes just because they will eventually contribute to a complex adaptation. This forward-looking aspect is then offered as evidence of intelligent design.
Another big drawback is that the analogy doesn’t capture the competitive nature of natural selection. Natural selection occurs in populations, and requires both variation in traits among individuals in the population and competition for resources among those individuals. The Hangman analogy suggests that the environment already has a fixed template for the ideal phenotype and that it punishes organisms (or genes) individually for failing to approach this ideal and rewards them for getting closer to the ideal. If you have a population, and things worked in the Hangman way, there would be no correlation between rewards and punishments. But that’s not how natural selection works. Genes are rewarded for contributing to their vehicles (organisms) being more reproductively successful than other organisms in the population. A reward just consists in reproducing more than your competitors, and a punishment just consists in reproducing less, so rewards and punishments are correlated. One allele can’t get rewarded without another one getting punished.
The ‘irreducible complexity’ argument advocated by the intelligent design community often cites the specific example of the eye. It is argued that an eye is a complex organ with many different individual parts that all must work together perfectly and that this implies it could not have been gradually built out of small gradual random changes.
This argument has been around a long time but it has been well answered within the scientific literature and the vast majority of biologist consider the issue settled.
Dawkins’ book ‘Climbing mount improbable’ provides a summary of the science for the lay reader and uses the eye as a detailed example.
Darwin was the first to explain how the the eye could have evolved via natural selection. I quote the wikipedia article:
The argument of ‘irreducible complexity’ has been around since Darwin first proposed natural selection and it has been conclusively answered within the scientific literature (for a good summary see the Wikipedia article). Those who believe that all life was created by God cannot believe the scientific explanation. In my view the real problem is that they tend to argue that they have superior scientific evidence which proves that the scientific consensus is wrong. In other words the intelligent design community argues they are scientifically superior to the science community. This reduces their position to a undignified one of deception or perhaps even fraud.
Wait, did you interpret my comment as supporting the “irreducible complexity” argument? My whole point was that it is a bad argument. I was criticizing the Hangman analogy because it seems to invite the same sort of mistake that the “irreducible complexity” people make.
Yes on re-reading I see what you are saying.
Thanks for the feedback. I think you’re right that a key omission here is failing to note that each step must be useful in itself, and provide a non-negligable boost to chances of survival on its own. It also implies a greater sense of purpose than exists in nature (there’s no mind aiming for things, just more resilient creatures surviving).
I realise the model has many flaws and omits wider context such as competition, but I’m still tempted by the appeal of using such a common situation as the analogy. Talk of guessing passwords or rolling dice does make excellent analogies, but if you want to engage someone it helps to talk about something closer to their personal experience, and I imagine most people played hangman on a board or margin at some point at school.