If the problem statement is as described and the FDT agent sees “you’ll take the right box” and the FDT agent takes the left box, then it must be the case that this was the unlucky bad prediction and made unlikely accordingly.
See also Nate Soares in Decisions are for making bad outcomes inconsistent. This is sort of a generalization, where ‘decisions are for making bad outcomes unlikely.’
See also Nate Soares in Decisions are for making bad outcomes inconsistent. This is sort of a generalization, where ‘decisions are for making bad outcomes unlikely.’