A list of some beliefs of which I changed my subjective probabilities because of FTX (in one direction or the other):
“When rich EA community people give money to political candidates, fear that they just want to buy influence so as to avoid regulation is misplaced.”
“The EA community is very good at understanding and managing risks, including low-probability high-effect risks”
“when success stories are too good to be true, they aren’t true.”
“crypto is a good thing.”
“People in general understand risk diversification.”
A list of some beliefs of which I changed my subjective probabilities because of FTX (in one direction or the other):
“When rich EA community people give money to political candidates, fear that they just want to buy influence so as to avoid regulation is misplaced.”
“The EA community is very good at understanding and managing risks, including low-probability high-effect risks”
“when success stories are too good to be true, they aren’t true.”
“crypto is a good thing.”
“People in general understand risk diversification.”