Yes, but neither of us gets to use “possible” as a shield and assume that leaves us free to treat the two possibilities as equivalent, even if we both started from uniform priors. If this is not clear, you need to go back to Highly Advanced Epistemology 101 for Beginners. Those are the absolute basics for a productive discussion on these kinds of topics.
You have presented briefly stated summary descriptions of complex assertions without evidence other than informal verbal arguments which contain many flaws and gaps that that I and many others have repeatedly pointed out. I and others have provided counterexamples to some of the assertions and detailed explanations of many of the flaws and gaps. You have not corrected the flaws and gaps, nor have you identified any specific gaps or leaps in any of the arguments you claim to be disagreeing with. Nor have you paid attention to any of the very clear cases where what you claim other people believe blatantly contradicts what they actually believe and say they believe and argue for, even when this is repeatedly pointed out.
Yes, but neither of us gets to use “possible” as a shield and assume that leaves us free to treat the two possibilities as equivalent, even if we both started from uniform priors. If this is not clear, you need to go back to Highly Advanced Epistemology 101 for Beginners. Those are the absolute basics for a productive discussion on these kinds of topics.
You have presented briefly stated summary descriptions of complex assertions without evidence other than informal verbal arguments which contain many flaws and gaps that that I and many others have repeatedly pointed out. I and others have provided counterexamples to some of the assertions and detailed explanations of many of the flaws and gaps. You have not corrected the flaws and gaps, nor have you identified any specific gaps or leaps in any of the arguments you claim to be disagreeing with. Nor have you paid attention to any of the very clear cases where what you claim other people believe blatantly contradicts what they actually believe and say they believe and argue for, even when this is repeatedly pointed out.
I am sorry if you feel so. I replied in other thread, hope this fills the gaps.