I have nearly the same viewpoint and was surprised to find what seems to me to be the obvious solution so far down this thread.
One little nitpick:
Additionally, I should note that the total amount of “people who are me who experience winning” will be 1 trillion at 5 sec. and exactly 1 at 15 sec.
From your analysis, I think you mean you expect there is a 1 in a billion chance there will be 1 trillion “people who are me who experience winning” at 5 sec.
I have nearly the same viewpoint and was surprised to find what seems to me to be the obvious solution so far down this thread.
One little nitpick:
From your analysis, I think you mean you expect there is a 1 in a billion chance there will be 1 trillion “people who are me who experience winning” at 5 sec.