Thank you for the reference! Indeed it’s very similar, the only difference is that my version relies on the beauty’s precommitment instead of the experimenter, but that probably doesn’t matter. Shame on me for not reading enough.
Nothing shameful on that. Similar arguments, which Jacob Ross categorized as “hypothetical priors” by adding another waking in case of H, have not been a main focus of discussion in literatures for the recent years. I would imagine most people haven’t read that.
In fact you should take it as a compliment. Some academic who probably spent a lot of time on it came up the same argument as you did.
Thank you for the reference! Indeed it’s very similar, the only difference is that my version relies on the beauty’s precommitment instead of the experimenter, but that probably doesn’t matter. Shame on me for not reading enough.
Nothing shameful on that. Similar arguments, which Jacob Ross categorized as “hypothetical priors” by adding another waking in case of H, have not been a main focus of discussion in literatures for the recent years. I would imagine most people haven’t read that.
In fact you should take it as a compliment. Some academic who probably spent a lot of time on it came up the same argument as you did.