A thing I’ve been thinking about lately is “what does it mean to shift from the early-to-mid-to-late game”.
In strategy board games, there’s an explicit shift from “early game, it’s worth spending the effort to build a longterm engine. At some point, you want to start spending your resources on victory points.” And a lens I’m thinking through is “how long does it keep making sense to invest in infrastructure, and what else might one do?”
I assume this is a pretty different lens than what you meant to be thinking about right now but I’m kinda curious for whatever-your-own model was of what it means to be in the mid vs late game.
Like, in Chess you start off with a state where many pieces can’t move in the early game, in the middle game many pieces are in play moving around and trading, then in the end game it’s only a few pieces, you know what the goal is, roughly how things will play out.
In AI it’s like only a handful of players, then ChatGPT/GPT-4 came out and now everyone is rushing to get in (my mark of the start of the mid-game), but over time probably many players will become irrelevant or fold as the table stakes (training costs) get too high.
In my head the end-game is when the AIs themselves start becoming real players.
In my mental model, we’re still in the mid-game, not yet in the end-game.
A thing I’ve been thinking about lately is “what does it mean to shift from the early-to-mid-to-late game”.
In strategy board games, there’s an explicit shift from “early game, it’s worth spending the effort to build a longterm engine. At some point, you want to start spending your resources on victory points.” And a lens I’m thinking through is “how long does it keep making sense to invest in infrastructure, and what else might one do?”
I assume this is a pretty different lens than what you meant to be thinking about right now but I’m kinda curious for whatever-your-own model was of what it means to be in the mid vs late game.
Like, in Chess you start off with a state where many pieces can’t move in the early game, in the middle game many pieces are in play moving around and trading, then in the end game it’s only a few pieces, you know what the goal is, roughly how things will play out.
In AI it’s like only a handful of players, then ChatGPT/GPT-4 came out and now everyone is rushing to get in (my mark of the start of the mid-game), but over time probably many players will become irrelevant or fold as the table stakes (training costs) get too high.
In my head the end-game is when the AIs themselves start becoming real players.