I agree with going too far, this quote seems to me to be reflecting extremities and mid-ranges categorization. Yes, there’s a lot more than 149 options, but there’s many which are functionally the same, and categorizing it all under two options ‘Get Shot’ & ‘Do what they say’ doesn’t take into consideration ‘Do what they say, then get shot to hide witnesses’ or any other option, it parses all options into mutually exclusive categories when in reality, they’re not mutually exclusive.
By enforcing the two phase blanketing mentality, there’s no consideration of changing of situation or any other variables. (Such as, ‘wait to attention elsewhere, escape.’). A good decision maker does need to be able to dismiss bad options with minimal thought, but dismissing good(Less Wrong!) options with the bad is detrimental as well. What I’m taking from the quote is not that I must consider every option (The first speaker does not, he/she merely considers three and states the existence of others.) but that I must be cognizant of the fact that there are other options available and not categorize them in such a way that they are unavailable to my self.
As I’m new to Rationality, this may be a little convoluted, if you could explain any holes in what I am trying to explain I will be grateful.
I agree with going too far, this quote seems to me to be reflecting extremities and mid-ranges categorization. Yes, there’s a lot more than 149 options, but there’s many which are functionally the same, and categorizing it all under two options ‘Get Shot’ & ‘Do what they say’ doesn’t take into consideration ‘Do what they say, then get shot to hide witnesses’ or any other option, it parses all options into mutually exclusive categories when in reality, they’re not mutually exclusive.
By enforcing the two phase blanketing mentality, there’s no consideration of changing of situation or any other variables. (Such as, ‘wait to attention elsewhere, escape.’). A good decision maker does need to be able to dismiss bad options with minimal thought, but dismissing good(Less Wrong!) options with the bad is detrimental as well. What I’m taking from the quote is not that I must consider every option (The first speaker does not, he/she merely considers three and states the existence of others.) but that I must be cognizant of the fact that there are other options available and not categorize them in such a way that they are unavailable to my self.
As I’m new to Rationality, this may be a little convoluted, if you could explain any holes in what I am trying to explain I will be grateful.