The point is that these are extremely small probabilities even in more rigorous areas. The idea that one can get probabilities on the order of 10^-13 strongly suggests that something is going wrong here, probably with a few helpings of motivated cognition.
The point is that these are extremely small probabilities even in more rigorous areas. The idea that one can get probabilities on the order of 10^-13 strongly suggests that something is going wrong here, probably with a few helpings of motivated cognition.