Is the accuracy row for each confidence column telling us what fraction of predictions Gwern assigned a given confidence to have been right?
Yes, something like that. I forget the exact details of how it bins.
That’s incredible!
Thank you. That’s years of practice and some useful heuristics at work there.
Yes, something like that. I forget the exact details of how it bins.
Thank you. That’s years of practice and some useful heuristics at work there.