I’m not sure to what extent there’s such a thing as the purpose for which DARPA was founded, but it seems to me you could equally say that cancer, diabetes and Alzheimer’s aren’t the purpose for which ARPA-H is being founded (assuming it actually happens); they’re merely current expectations for some of the first things it will work on. So I’m not sure what distinction you’re drawing htere.
Perhaps if I were more familiar with the structure of the relevant US agencies it would be clearer to me, but as it is I don’t see how you get from “It will be part of the NIH rather than part of the OSTP” to “it will be more politician-driven than DARPA”.
The article in Science quotes some people who think ARPA-H will probably do well and some who don’t. This isn’t terribly surprising; I bet that if the administration had issued a similar announcement but had said that ARPA-H would be part of the OSTP, they’d instead have quoted some people saying “It makes no sense for ARPA-H not to be part of Health and Human Services; I’m worried that it will end up wasting money on projects that don’t really have anything to do with health” or something of the sort. (I remark that the alternative mentioned in the Science article isn’t “part of the OSTP” but “a standalone part of DHHS”.)
This is looking less and less like a real question and more like you just wanted to complain that the proposed ARPA-H isn’t what you’d like it to be.
(For the avoidance of doubt, the above is not a coded way of saying that what you’d like it to be wouldn’t be an improvement. I don’t know enough about these things to have a strong opinion on that.)
That seemed like the objection is more, it’s going to be a slave to the existing orthodoxy as far as what’s important/promising, rather than the politians, and the former is even worse if you’re expecting novel thought or research directions. Not sure to what extent that’s actually true but reporting structure does matter; especially the topmost layer that still has strong technical opinions.
(I remark that the alternative mentioned in the Science article isn’t “part of the OSTP” but “a standalone part of DHHS”.)
Part of OSTP would be the good but it requires a political fight against the whole HHS. The people intereviewed chose the fight against the NIH because that’s the easier fight to win but they still lost.
I’m not sure to what extent there’s such a thing as the purpose for which DARPA was founded, but it seems to me you could equally say that cancer, diabetes and Alzheimer’s aren’t the purpose for which ARPA-H is being founded (assuming it actually happens)
I think the present scenario is that Biden’s son died to brain cancer and Biden said on the campaign trial: “I promise you if I’m elected president, you’re going to see the single most important thing that changes America,” he said. “We’re gonna cure cancer.”
Given that the rest of the NIH funding increase is relatively small this does look like his strategy for curing cancer.
This is not the first time Biden tries to cure cancer. Biden personally wants cancer solved and is likely to push in that direction. At the same time between head of ARPA-H, head of NIH, head of HHS and the president that’s a lot of maze levels and that’s only the top of of the organization and you can expect at least two additional maze level till it goes to the individual who heads the team that gets a grant and an additional at least one additional maze level for the people who work on the grant.
The article in Science quotes some people who think ARPA-H will probably do well and some who don’t.
Of course it does. Why wouldn’t it? Why would it tell us anything that Science tries to present both sides?
One the one hand you have biomedical scientists speaking about problems with ARPA-H and on the other hand you have an organization headed by a chair with a BA in English who describes herself as a thought leader with is a general tell for someone who engages in bullshit and a CEO who describes her background as “political science, sociology, and the humanities”.
It doesn’t tell us anything that Science tries to present both sides. In particular, it doesn’t tell us anything that Science found someone unhappy at ARPA-H being part of the NIH. That was my point.
I’m not sure what your last paragraph is about. On the face of it it seems to be something to do with the Science article, but it doesn’t seem like it lines up with that. The people quoted there are, in order,
Liz Feld (BA in Government, journalist and politician): the one you quoted, very negative about ARPA-H as part of NIH
Michael Stebbins (genetics PhD, career in science, science journalism and science policy): “It has tremendous potential at NIH” but various caveats
David Walt (professor at Harvard): seems positive (though I think he’s comparing it to the status quo rather than to putting ARPA-H somewhere else)
ResearchAmerica (sciencey PR organization): seems opposed to anything ARPA-H shaped at all because it will take money away from ordinary NIH projects
The last of these seems to be the one you’re talking about—its CEO does indeed describe her background that way. But they’re strongly opposed to putting ARPA-H inside the NIH.
I did decide to look into who’s behind ResearchAmerica but I think it’s fair to notice that Liz Feld also doesn’t have a science background.
Michael Stebbins (genetics PhD, career in science, science journalism and science policy): “It has tremendous potential at NIH” but various caveats
I don’t think that’s a judgement about the merits of it being at NIH. It’s accepting that the decision happened and wanting to influence the particulars. The battlelines being whether or not it’s part of the common fund and a desire to for “program directors have to have tremendous flexibility” and “ARPA-H director has to have the authority to make decisions”. To the extend that those are the goals being outside of the NIH would help with them.
The thing that matters isn’t whether ARPA-H is within NIH but whether it has the authority to make independent decisions.
I’m not sure to what extent there’s such a thing as the purpose for which DARPA was founded, but it seems to me you could equally say that cancer, diabetes and Alzheimer’s aren’t the purpose for which ARPA-H is being founded (assuming it actually happens); they’re merely current expectations for some of the first things it will work on. So I’m not sure what distinction you’re drawing htere.
Perhaps if I were more familiar with the structure of the relevant US agencies it would be clearer to me, but as it is I don’t see how you get from “It will be part of the NIH rather than part of the OSTP” to “it will be more politician-driven than DARPA”.
The article in Science quotes some people who think ARPA-H will probably do well and some who don’t. This isn’t terribly surprising; I bet that if the administration had issued a similar announcement but had said that ARPA-H would be part of the OSTP, they’d instead have quoted some people saying “It makes no sense for ARPA-H not to be part of Health and Human Services; I’m worried that it will end up wasting money on projects that don’t really have anything to do with health” or something of the sort. (I remark that the alternative mentioned in the Science article isn’t “part of the OSTP” but “a standalone part of DHHS”.)
This is looking less and less like a real question and more like you just wanted to complain that the proposed ARPA-H isn’t what you’d like it to be.
(For the avoidance of doubt, the above is not a coded way of saying that what you’d like it to be wouldn’t be an improvement. I don’t know enough about these things to have a strong opinion on that.)
That seemed like the objection is more, it’s going to be a slave to the existing orthodoxy as far as what’s important/promising, rather than the politians, and the former is even worse if you’re expecting novel thought or research directions. Not sure to what extent that’s actually true but reporting structure does matter; especially the topmost layer that still has strong technical opinions.
Part of OSTP would be the good but it requires a political fight against the whole HHS. The people intereviewed chose the fight against the NIH because that’s the easier fight to win but they still lost.
I think the present scenario is that Biden’s son died to brain cancer and Biden said on the campaign trial: “I promise you if I’m elected president, you’re going to see the single most important thing that changes America,” he said. “We’re gonna cure cancer.”
Given that the rest of the NIH funding increase is relatively small this does look like his strategy for curing cancer.
This is not the first time Biden tries to cure cancer. Biden personally wants cancer solved and is likely to push in that direction. At the same time between head of ARPA-H, head of NIH, head of HHS and the president that’s a lot of maze levels and that’s only the top of of the organization and you can expect at least two additional maze level till it goes to the individual who heads the team that gets a grant and an additional at least one additional maze level for the people who work on the grant.
Of course it does. Why wouldn’t it? Why would it tell us anything that Science tries to present both sides?
One the one hand you have biomedical scientists speaking about problems with ARPA-H and on the other hand you have an organization headed by a chair with a BA in English who describes herself as a thought leader with is a general tell for someone who engages in bullshit and a CEO who describes her background as “political science, sociology, and the humanities”.
It doesn’t tell us anything that Science tries to present both sides. In particular, it doesn’t tell us anything that Science found someone unhappy at ARPA-H being part of the NIH. That was my point.
I’m not sure what your last paragraph is about. On the face of it it seems to be something to do with the Science article, but it doesn’t seem like it lines up with that. The people quoted there are, in order,
Liz Feld (BA in Government, journalist and politician): the one you quoted, very negative about ARPA-H as part of NIH
Michael Stebbins (genetics PhD, career in science, science journalism and science policy): “It has tremendous potential at NIH” but various caveats
David Walt (professor at Harvard): seems positive (though I think he’s comparing it to the status quo rather than to putting ARPA-H somewhere else)
ResearchAmerica (sciencey PR organization): seems opposed to anything ARPA-H shaped at all because it will take money away from ordinary NIH projects
The last of these seems to be the one you’re talking about—its CEO does indeed describe her background that way. But they’re strongly opposed to putting ARPA-H inside the NIH.
I did decide to look into who’s behind ResearchAmerica but I think it’s fair to notice that Liz Feld also doesn’t have a science background.
I don’t think that’s a judgement about the merits of it being at NIH. It’s accepting that the decision happened and wanting to influence the particulars. The battlelines being whether or not it’s part of the common fund and a desire to for “program directors have to have tremendous flexibility” and “ARPA-H director has to have the authority to make decisions”. To the extend that those are the goals being outside of the NIH would help with them.
The thing that matters isn’t whether ARPA-H is within NIH but whether it has the authority to make independent decisions.