It is always possible to say in retrospect that whatever happened was inevitable. The problem is, a world where individual actions don’t matter that much should be a predictable world. And ours very much isn’t.
…a world where individual actions don’t matter that much should be a predictable world. And ours very much isn’t.
Can you say more? My first reaction is “Huh, I didn’t think of that, that’s interesting.” My second thought is “Wait, what about turbulence the weather?”
RE the latter: the action of individual air molecules doesn’t really matter that much, but the net effect is still very hard to predict with much precision. We can say some things about the overall general net effect, but we miss a lot of important details.
(I’m thinking of how my family and I had a plane flight scheduled to Florida last year, and surprise! there was a hurricane that might or might not be about to hit Orlando at the time. The predictions weren’t clear even a day before the event. It wasn’t clear whether we’d be able to go at all, or when.)
As I understand, topicstarters claim is that civilization is not a chaotic system, and any temporary disturbances don’t affect long-term trajectory. Weather is a chaotic system.
It is always possible to say in retrospect that whatever happened was inevitable. The problem is, a world where individual actions don’t matter that much should be a predictable world. And ours very much isn’t.
Can you say more? My first reaction is “Huh, I didn’t think of that, that’s interesting.” My second thought is “Wait, what about
turbulencethe weather?”RE the latter: the action of individual air molecules doesn’t really matter that much, but the net effect is still very hard to predict with much precision. We can say some things about the overall general net effect, but we miss a lot of important details.
(I’m thinking of how my family and I had a plane flight scheduled to Florida last year, and surprise! there was a hurricane that might or might not be about to hit Orlando at the time. The predictions weren’t clear even a day before the event. It wasn’t clear whether we’d be able to go at all, or when.)
Am I missing your meaning?
As I understand, topicstarters claim is that civilization is not a chaotic system, and any temporary disturbances don’t affect long-term trajectory. Weather is a chaotic system.