But it is a bigger deal for children. Children can get complications from throat infections.
You were looking at problems with one in ten thousand odds, but you don’t have ten thousand acquaintances of acquaintances, so it is unlikely that you would get second hand reports of problems with these odds.
You have even less acquaintances with children, perhaps no more than a few hundred, so even problems with odds of one in a thousand are unlikely to reach you via second hand reports.
What are the complications? Death? Weeks in the hospital? Lifelong complications?
I suspect that if there was even 1-in-100,000 chance of that kind of consequence from regularly wearing masks, I would have heard about it by now. But if you have a reference to actual incidents (not just speculation that it’s possible, but actual people who had these kinds of very very serious problems), I’d be interested to see that.
I want to consider possible impacts of my decisions that are either (1) common, (2) rare but catastrophic. MIS-C is not super catastrophic, but it’s fatal if you’re not promptly hospitalized, and occasionally fatal even if you are, if I understand correctly. So it enters into consideration, despite being rare. And even so I wound up declaring that MIS-C risk is too low to be decision relevant. I have a hard time imagining that wearing a mask will lead to consequences anywhere remotely as serious as MIS-C. So it wouldn’t enter into my consideration unless it was very common, like >1%.
But it is a bigger deal for children. Children can get complications from throat infections.
You were looking at problems with one in ten thousand odds, but you don’t have ten thousand acquaintances of acquaintances, so it is unlikely that you would get second hand reports of problems with these odds.
You have even less acquaintances with children, perhaps no more than a few hundred, so even problems with odds of one in a thousand are unlikely to reach you via second hand reports.
What are the complications? Death? Weeks in the hospital? Lifelong complications?
I suspect that if there was even 1-in-100,000 chance of that kind of consequence from regularly wearing masks, I would have heard about it by now. But if you have a reference to actual incidents (not just speculation that it’s possible, but actual people who had these kinds of very very serious problems), I’d be interested to see that.
I want to consider possible impacts of my decisions that are either (1) common, (2) rare but catastrophic. MIS-C is not super catastrophic, but it’s fatal if you’re not promptly hospitalized, and occasionally fatal even if you are, if I understand correctly. So it enters into consideration, despite being rare. And even so I wound up declaring that MIS-C risk is too low to be decision relevant. I have a hard time imagining that wearing a mask will lead to consequences anywhere remotely as serious as MIS-C. So it wouldn’t enter into my consideration unless it was very common, like >1%.