It would be more reasonable to use trend-extrapolation if it was a field where you would necessarily be able to discern a trend. Yudkowsky argues there could be sharp discontinuities. Personally I don’t really feel qualified to have a strong opinion, and I would not be able to discern a trend even if it exists.
It would be more reasonable to use trend-extrapolation if it was a field where you would necessarily be able to discern a trend. Yudkowsky argues there could be sharp discontinuities. Personally I don’t really feel qualified to have a strong opinion, and I would not be able to discern a trend even if it exists.