Probability that the AI we build doesn’t take over, but that it builds even smarter AI and there is a takeover some day further down the line: 7%
Does “further down the line” here mean “further down the line, but still within 10 years of building powerful AI”? Or do you mean it unqualified?
I think almost all the cumulative takeover probability is within 10 years of building powerful AI. Didn’t draw the distinction here, but my views aren’t precise enough to distinguish.
Does “further down the line” here mean “further down the line, but still within 10 years of building powerful AI”? Or do you mean it unqualified?
I think almost all the cumulative takeover probability is within 10 years of building powerful AI. Didn’t draw the distinction here, but my views aren’t precise enough to distinguish.