Or I could bet that a teapot isn’t orbiting the Sun.
If you have evidence that prediction markets are effective in broad scenarios, show it. Trying to reverse the burden of proof by proposing a bet is not going to work.
Who said anything about burden of proof? If you’re right, you could be making a lot of money by betting that you are right. Not only would your opponents lose money, but losing money is a great way to learn a lesson that won’t be trivialized or forgotten.
Or I could bet that a teapot isn’t orbiting the Sun.
If you have evidence that prediction markets are effective in broad scenarios, show it. Trying to reverse the burden of proof by proposing a bet is not going to work.
Who said anything about burden of proof? If you’re right, you could be making a lot of money by betting that you are right. Not only would your opponents lose money, but losing money is a great way to learn a lesson that won’t be trivialized or forgotten.