if you get a reward for guessing if your number is >5 correctly, then you should guess that your number is >5 every time.
I am a little unsure about your meaning here. Say you get a reward for guessing if your number is <5 correctly, then would you also guess your number is <5 each time?
I’m guessing that is not what you mean, but instead, you are thinking as the experiment is repeated more and more the relative frequency of you finding your own number >5 would approach 95%. What I am saying is this belief requires an assumption about treating the “I” as a random sample. Whereas for the non-anthropic problem, it doesn’t.
I am a little unsure about your meaning here. Say you get a reward for guessing if your number is <5 correctly, then would you also guess your number is <5 each time?
I’m guessing that is not what you mean, but instead, you are thinking as the experiment is repeated more and more the relative frequency of you finding your own number >5 would approach 95%. What I am saying is this belief requires an assumption about treating the “I” as a random sample. Whereas for the non-anthropic problem, it doesn’t.