To be clear I think it’s generally actually fine to ask out loud “hey why isn’t this happening?” (rather than quietly/privately). At least, this seems fine for all the examples in the OP.
The thing I’m cautioning against is forming the strong belief “this isn’t happening, people must be crazy/blind to what needs-to-be-done” and then boldly charging ahead.
Ah. I had been wondering what the actionable implications of this model were supposed to be. After all, it does not seem useful for truth-seeking to adopt a strategy of assuming that in every blank spot in your territory, there’s actually an invisible dragon. With this comment, things make more sense to me.
That said, if shouting is fine, then the Dark Forest analogy seems misleading, and another metaphor (like DirectedEvolution’s Faerie Forest) might be more apt.
Yeah I think in isolation the quote is not a spoiler.
To be clear I think it’s generally actually fine to ask out loud “hey why isn’t this happening?” (rather than quietly/privately). At least, this seems fine for all the examples in the OP.
The thing I’m cautioning against is forming the strong belief “this isn’t happening, people must be crazy/blind to what needs-to-be-done” and then boldly charging ahead.
I definitely agree with that, and there is a clear pattern of this happening on LW among the newbie AI Doomers
Ah. I had been wondering what the actionable implications of this model were supposed to be. After all, it does not seem useful for truth-seeking to adopt a strategy of assuming that in every blank spot in your territory, there’s actually an invisible dragon. With this comment, things make more sense to me.
That said, if shouting is fine, then the Dark Forest analogy seems misleading, and another metaphor (like DirectedEvolution’s Faerie Forest) might be more apt.