Cyan, oh, I get your point, I just think it’s wrong to frame it as “on the one hand, on the other hand” as if the pro and con scenarios are equally likely and it’s a toss-up between the two. The reason to point out that the very technology which is necessary for Cryonics to succeed is likely to make it obsolete and consequently unlikely to fulfil its promise is to illustrate a fatal flaw in the concept not to merely paint one pessimistic scenario. There are plenty of alternative pessimistic scenarios but none of which (individually that is) is a knockdown arguments against.
HA, to me that sounds like “I know I haven’t got much of a chance of winning the lottery but if I’m not in I can’t win and somebody’s got to win it, right?”. Sure, who wouldn’t want to maximise ones persistence odds? but at what price? I’m fairly confident that you are not willing to assign your entire lifetime income minus a subsistence allowance towards Cryonics so there’s obviously some price at which you decide it’s not worth it. My point is that it’s likely you have miscalculated that price and given the probability of all the scenarios necessary to fall in place for the payoff. If it’s not worth wasting a couple of bucks on a lottery ticket for a lifechanging payoff it’s certainly not worth wasting a much larger amount for an even more improbable payoff.
Cyan, oh, I get your point, I just think it’s wrong to frame it as “on the one hand, on the other hand” as if the pro and con scenarios are equally likely and it’s a toss-up between the two. The reason to point out that the very technology which is necessary for Cryonics to succeed is likely to make it obsolete and consequently unlikely to fulfil its promise is to illustrate a fatal flaw in the concept not to merely paint one pessimistic scenario. There are plenty of alternative pessimistic scenarios but none of which (individually that is) is a knockdown arguments against.
HA, to me that sounds like “I know I haven’t got much of a chance of winning the lottery but if I’m not in I can’t win and somebody’s got to win it, right?”. Sure, who wouldn’t want to maximise ones persistence odds? but at what price? I’m fairly confident that you are not willing to assign your entire lifetime income minus a subsistence allowance towards Cryonics so there’s obviously some price at which you decide it’s not worth it. My point is that it’s likely you have miscalculated that price and given the probability of all the scenarios necessary to fall in place for the payoff. If it’s not worth wasting a couple of bucks on a lottery ticket for a lifechanging payoff it’s certainly not worth wasting a much larger amount for an even more improbable payoff.