This is likely true, but misleading. “almost as likely” is WAY different than “just as likely”. A very small edge compounded over many decisions makes for a big difference.
Another implication of this is that some effort into figuring out which decisions have a bigger impact and a higher-than-random likelihood of you picking the best option is worth it. Ideally, figure out the habits that make small, frequent decisions easy to do the probably-right thing, and spend actual thought on the decisions with more impact and that you have non-generic information about.
This is likely true, but misleading. “almost as likely” is WAY different than “just as likely”. A very small edge compounded over many decisions makes for a big difference.
Another implication of this is that some effort into figuring out which decisions have a bigger impact and a higher-than-random likelihood of you picking the best option is worth it. Ideally, figure out the habits that make small, frequent decisions easy to do the probably-right thing, and spend actual thought on the decisions with more impact and that you have non-generic information about.