Technical alignment is hard Technical alignment will take 5+ years
Technical alignment is hard
Technical alignment will take 5+ years
This does not follow, because subhuman AI can still accelerate R&D.
The OP’s argument can be modified to be immune to your objection:
Technical alignment is harder than capability research. Technical alignment will take longer than we have before capability research kills us all.
This too seems like an improvement. However I would leave out the “kills us all” bit as this is meant to be the last line of the argument.
A fair comment. Would the following be an improvement? “Some technical alignment engineers predict with current tool and resources technical alignment will take 5+ years?”
This does not follow, because subhuman AI can still accelerate R&D.
The OP’s argument can be modified to be immune to your objection:
This too seems like an improvement. However I would leave out the “kills us all” bit as this is meant to be the last line of the argument.
A fair comment. Would the following be an improvement? “Some technical alignment engineers predict with current tool and resources technical alignment will take 5+ years?”